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ArthurPTA

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Everything posted by ArthurPTA

  1. ArthurPTA
    JW can win the Comrades of that I have no doubt. He ran a 64 min half marathon off limited road training. He will need to focus and not get distracted by other races in the lead up. CH on the other hand has no chance she is too slow her winning time in 2017 would only have got her 5th this year. If Gerda runs Comrades instead of Olympics she can run sub 5:50 based on her up time and how comfortable it was.
  2. ArthurPTA
    SAIDS are actually pretty good there are a number of cases in the weeks pre comrades which they have caught people not big names just random podium tests at small ish races no doubt a couple will make the news in due course. The biological passport is by far the best way to catch the dopers but it's very expensive and generally only for the top performers. A university friend works for USADA and he alaways says that a red light for them is an athlete who has had a big performance but then goes on the athlete passport and then the performance over next years markedly decreases this has been happening with many Kenyan athletes a big win in a marathon then they are never seen again. The public needs confidence in results including this years Comrades I think athletes need to be honest and open about when and where they are tested which will hopefully go some way to restoring faith.
  3. ArthurPTA
  4. ArthurPTA
    No there is a process of appeal there will be nothing from SAIDS I know one who is banned from running comrades after failing a test after a race in Pretoria.
  5. ArthurPTA
  6. ArthurPTA
    It seems some top runners won't be doing Comrades.. SAIDS have been having a big sweep on testing and it appears we are in double figures who have now been suspended! Let's see who doesn't start Comrades as no names released until after the disciplinary process.
  7. ArthurPTA
    I think the men top 2 you could be correct but I am not sure Gift still has it in him to get on the podium. I think David Gatebe and Edward Mothibi have to be the guys to watch pushing the podium. The ladies is between Ann and Gerda but I think Morozova will be on the podium like last year. There will be a huge gap to the next ladies just like last year. The race tactics will be interesting to say the least Gerda's time in Oceans indicates she could break 6 hours but Ann while not having Gerda's raw speed is a serious tough nut and will be incredibly hard to beat. I will go for Gerda I think she is probably the better up runner but let's see! Sunday morning TV viewing is sorted!
  8. ArthurPTA
    I think she could get a gold but there are so many who will be fighting for them. An Irish girl is running who recently ran 2:38 a Canadian with a 2:41 English girl with 2:41 Sarah Bard, Devon Yanko, Domonika Stelmach, Charne Bosman, jenna challenor, Yolande then you include Ann,Camille,Gerda and Alexander Morozova the list is long!
  9. ArthurPTA
  10. ArthurPTA
    He will be one to watch it will depend how he is on a very hilly course. I can't see beyond Bongmusa but if he has a bad day it could be David Gatebe, Edward Mothibi perhaps even Steve Way.
  11. ArthurPTA
  12. ArthurPTA
    The ladies podium will be the same as last year Morozova Ann and Gerda. Camille is just too slow over Comrades yes she won in 2017 but there was no competition and her time was very slow for a winning time.
  13. ArthurPTA
    I think Gerda will win and break the record she looked ridiculously comfortable on Two Oceans. Irvette said she was untouchable and could have run 3:27-3:28 on the day.
  14. ArthurPTA
    Who knows very few ultra runners worldwide are in the WADA testing pool it's too much of a niche sport... in fact SA has probably the most in the testing pool. It's a worldwide problem but in SA gets brushed under the table. Just in the last year second in Comrades is a doper Second lady this year in two oceans is a doper. Last year 8th place two oceans caught doping and banned. Comrades and Oceans need to ban dopers from their races it would be a start in gaining confidence in the results.
  15. ArthurPTA
    Many do not believe the down run record is legit by any means. Doping is real in South Africa yes they catch some but the percentage is small. JW has a valid point Mr EPO as he used to be known holds the up record.
  16. ArthurPTA
  17. ArthurPTA
    But too slow her winning time in 2017 was the slowest in recent years Caroline's time in 2015 was 20 minutes quicker if you take into account the longer course. Ann and Gerda have times much quicker through all distances including comrades. I think Ann per km last year was the 4th fastest in the history of Comrades...Camille will not get close if they are fit
  18. ArthurPTA
    Camille will not get within 20 minutes of Ann or Gerda they just have too much speed for her. The ladies record will go this year to either of them. Gerda ran sub 2:28 marathon pace for the last 6km of Oceans her coach says if they had targeted the record she would have run 3:28. I would even go to predict we could see a sub 6 ladies time this year.
  19. ArthurPTA
  20. ArthurPTA
    Looking forward to running 2 Oceans my 4th I would love to break 4:45 but training not where it should be! I hear on the grapevine Irvette and Gerda might by trying for the record certainly Irvette is looking super strong.
  21. ArthurPTA
    Who is your money on for 2 Oceans? I hear Irvette Van Zyl might run along with the polish lady from last year. Is Gerda running she is not doing any racing at the moment.
  22. ArthurPTA
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