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nomoregravity

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    Western Cape
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  1. nomoregravity
    Thanks for a great competition where the challenges pushed most of us out of our comfort zones. How many in the draw?
  2. nomoregravity
    Soooooo.. anyone been contacted telephonically yet?
  3. nomoregravity
    The 30th flip proved to be a great illustration of why it's an observation and not a law :-)
  4. nomoregravity
    Counter-intuitive yes, but once your head gets around the implications of "random" it should make sense. A simple 50/50 example is a good start, like the toss in cricket. A captain might decide at the start of his career to always call heads, assuming that he should be right 50% of the time. In reality, he may end up being captain for twenty matches, and never win a toss. Each new throw of the coin is a new event - the coin doesn't have a memory (or a conscience :-) ). The law of averages isn't really a law, but rather an observation that, over time and millions of throws of the coin, heads and tails occur in more or less equal frequencies. In this competition, if it was only you and me that completed all four challenges, and there were two entries up for grabs, and we assumed that you can only win once, we would each have a 50% chance in the first draw. The person losing in the first draw would then have a 100% chance of winning the SECOND draw, which would also be the last. So, in an event with multiple draws, your best odds is always what it will be in the FINAL draw. If we added dirtypot to the mix, we would each have a 1 in 3 chance for the first entry, while you and dirtypot would each have a 50% odds for the second entry, as I would have won the first! I also seem to care more about this than I should...
  5. nomoregravity
    I was so NOT gonna be the stats Nazi, but it really is only 0.418% First draw 1 chance in 240 (0.416%), second draw 1 chance in 239 (0.418%)... Excellent odds anyways!
  6. nomoregravity
    So here we go out doing Saturday stuff like shuttling kids and shuffling in the malls. When what we all should actually be doing is lining up in a guard of honour in Wellington for 85 salutes - one for each of the riders from RV through JD to VR (and yes, including BS) for taking up this devellish schallenge, in the most god-forsaken parts of our country, to prove once again that there is indeed more to life than listening to Springbok Radio.
  7. nomoregravity
    Only if double comes after triple :-)
  8. nomoregravity
    Thanks Gen! Really thought he was in with a shot at the win. If the Munga can break him, it can break anyone...
  9. nomoregravity
    KevBenky looks shattered... :-( He's not moved from Sutherland in more than three hours. Any news?
  10. nomoregravity
    The dots appreciate it anyway, I think :-) Seems like a slightly better day ahead weather-wise, but still hot and more headwinds...
  11. nomoregravity
    Morning Ramrod! Well done for keeping the dots company through the night!
  12. nomoregravity
    Not sure if it's been mentioned, but an interesting aside on another extreme event connecting Jeannie and KevBenky... Benky convinced the Dreyers to do join him to do an Everesting on Sani Pass late in September last year. Kevin was already into the Everesting scene, but the Sani would have been the first on gravel in SA, and also the first 'steep' one (ie climb the 8848m in less than 200km). The weather turned around Wednesday, and by the time they started, the pass was a slippery mess, with winds reaching gale force and snow falling on the slopes. Kevin abandoned somewhere around halfway into the attempt due to hypothermia and tummy problems (I think), but did come back to complete the last loop with the Dreyers. Totally different set of circumstances this time round for them. For me, pretty much the same challenge: trying not to check for updates every 5 minutes...
  13. nomoregravity
    Just caught up with the thread again - HUGE RESPECT!! Go Benky!!
  14. nomoregravity
    Yup, Kevin Benky methinks. It's about time for a new story... https://benky.exposure.co/
  15. nomoregravity
    Thanks meezo, any idea on overall times?
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