Tumbleweed Posted July 17, 2008 Posted July 17, 2008 the genesis of this thread came from the barloworld doping thread, where i asked if an actuary would be able to work out the possibility of a rider being caught for doping. phen said we could have sun fun with this, but we'd need some facts to start off with. let's make it epo for argument's sake, because chunky provided us with the info that the drug would take three days to leave one's system. anyone know offhand how many tests are done every day? (sorry, am actually quite busy at work today - for a change - and haven't got the time to search) can you lot think of any other variables we might need to factor in?
Pieter Henning Posted July 17, 2008 Posted July 17, 2008 Hahaha! Okay, we gonna have to make a lot of assumptions unfortunately (remember, when you assume, 'you make an ass out of u and me), but atleast we can get a rough idea, and at the worst we get to kill some time. I'm off to class now (we only start at 12h30 on Thursday's this semester, how cool is that?), but for starters let's get some figures: How many riders get tested daily (stage winner, yellow and some randoms)? How often do they use drugs? Etc.
The Saint Posted July 17, 2008 Posted July 17, 2008 I have a better one "assumption is the mother of all f'up's"
Pieter Henning Posted July 17, 2008 Posted July 17, 2008 I'm a bit pissed off at the sport right now. Stupid stupid stupid Ricco. Will try come up with the model tomorrow or Monday. The main idea is a theoretical model that estimates the probability of the system currently in place catching riders that dope.
The Saint Posted July 17, 2008 Posted July 17, 2008 Well this is easy.....they ALL dope. How many riders get tested per day divided by the number of contenstants will give you your answer.
Shebeen Posted July 17, 2008 Posted July 17, 2008 How often do they use drugs? well there's a 30page thread wanting to happen
Joss Posted July 17, 2008 Posted July 17, 2008 ? How often do they use drugs? ? well there's a 30page thread wanting to happen They use EPO and HGH every two to three days depending on their hemeocrit levels in their blood. At least this is what i heard from reputable sources.
tikki Posted July 18, 2008 Posted July 18, 2008 Any of you read the book "The death of Marco Pantani"???? Lots of info on the use of Epo in the sport!!!
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