Win 1 of 2 Absa Cape Epic team entries with USN

[dee_biker]

[cicli]

i'm 19 places below you dee_biker, we are in it to win it:-)

[nathrix]

Done & Dusted

[MTBc]

136

 

[cicli]

Am sure we will see some more completions once the Munga crew are done and dusted

[Rudi Pollard]

I'm doing my final challenge Friday - Sunday... In it to win it!

 

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[BMCfan]

Done! at 21:30 last night. Had to squeeze in a 3hr ride after work. Hahaa.

After DC and a babelaas Sunday stroll, i am now proper pooped

[MTB Cruiser]

Started challenge 4 this morning, only 10 more hours needed. Bring on the weekend...and my Epic ticket! 

[MTBc]

1 day left. 240 in.

[dirtypot]

  On 12/2/2016 at 4:43 AM, cmckowen said:

Started challenge 4 this morning, only 10 more hours needed. Bring on the weekend...and my Epic ticket! 

 

Did you make it?

Edited December 5, 2016 by dirtypot

[dirtypot]

  On 12/5/2016 at 11:37 AM, MTBc said:

1 day left. 240 in.

 

Woohoo!!  

That number has come down nicely!  These are the best odds I've ever had of getting into the Epic!

[MTBc]

  On 12/5/2016 at 11:40 AM, dirtypot said:

Woohoo!!  

That number has come down nicely!  These are the best odds I've ever had of getting into the Epic!

 

0.83% change of weeening wena.

[nomoregravity]

  On 12/5/2016 at 11:42 AM, MTBc said:

0.83% change of weeening wena.

 

I was so NOT gonna be the stats Nazi, but it really is only 0.418% 

 

First draw 1 chance in 240 (0.416%), second draw 1 chance in 239 (0.418%)...

 

Excellent odds anyways!

[MTB Cruiser]

  On 12/5/2016 at 11:39 AM, dirtypot said:

Did you make it?

 

I did indeed and my brother too. Doubling our odds, I like the chances! 

[Rudi Pollard]

When is the actual draw happening?

 

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[MTBc]

  On 12/5/2016 at 3:20 PM, nomoregravity said:

I was so NOT gonna be the stats Nazi, but it really is only 0.418%

 

First draw 1 chance in 240 (0.416%), second draw 1 chance in 239 (0.418%)...

 

Excellent odds anyways!

Explain more... Would 2 chances of 0.4 not give you twice 0.8, i.e twice as likely as 1 x 0.4% chance?

 

If there's 2 people entered in the draw the its 2/2 = 100%. With 4 ppl, it would be 50%? or would it be 1 in 4 (25%) and then 1 in 3 (33%) so then added odds are 58%?

 

This is bugging me more than it should. Probably should have paid more attention during stats lectures.

 

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