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Posted (edited)

Started challenge 4 this morning, only 10 more hours needed. Bring on the weekend...and my Epic ticket!  :)

 

Did you make it?

Edited by dirtypot
Posted

Woohoo!!  

That number has come down nicely!  These are the best odds I've ever had of getting into the Epic!

 

0.83% change of weeening wena.

Posted

I was so NOT gonna be the stats Nazi, but it really is only 0.418% :ph34r:

 

First draw 1 chance in 240 (0.416%), second draw 1 chance in 239 (0.418%)...

 

Excellent odds anyways!

Explain more... Would 2 chances of 0.4 not give you twice 0.8, i.e twice as likely as 1 x 0.4% chance?

 

If there's 2 people entered in the draw the its 2/2 = 100%. With 4 ppl, it would be 50%? or would it be 1 in 4 (25%) and then 1 in 3 (33%) so then added odds are 58%?

 

This is bugging me more than it should. Probably should have paid more attention during stats lectures.

 

Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk

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