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Kona Ironman 2018 Predictions


Wheelsuck

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Posted

I noticed Lucy Charles had the water tank lid flapping in the wind for most of the ride.

Also noticed that from early on the cycle leg.  Don't think this Shiv will be around for long and cannot see many AG's considering it.  

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Posted

Also noticed that from early on the cycle leg. Don't think this Shiv will be around for long and cannot see many AG's considering it.

Man, I would be peeved as a pro if I made every effort to absolutely maximize every Watt possible, and then your bike sponsor gives you an air brake for 180km

Posted

Nothing wrong with his bike leg

 

But if you consider he lost 35 mins in the swim and run legs doesn't matter how good at cycling you are you will not pull 35mins on these guys on the bike alone.

Ryf was 10mins slower than Sanders on the bike, yet overall she was 5mins faster.

 

Couldn't agree with you more. 

Posted

Nothing wrong with his bike leg

 

But if you consider he lost 35 mins in the swim and run legs doesn't matter how good at cycling you are you will not pull 35mins on these guys on the bike alone.

Ryf was 10mins slower than Sanders on the bike, yet overall she was 5mins faster.

I disagree, If you look at his Intensity Factor (IF) of 0.81 he was pushing way too hard trying to make up for lost time.  A general rule of thumb is that for a full Ironman IF should be 0.7-0.76

 

https://bikeraceinfo.com/training-fitness/tri-power-meter.html

https://www.triradar.com/training-advice/training-with-a-power-meter/

 

These guys are super human so expect them to be at the top end of the IF or just over, but to be pushing an IF of 0,81 for over 4hrs, unless you are a super strong runner is going to affect your run... which it did!!

 

He ran a 3:15:26 which was the slowest run time of the top 29 in which he finished 28th.  Even a 25-29 Age Group athlete who was only 4 mins behind him ran a faster run

 

And is probably why Ryf was faster as she managed her pacing on the bike better.

Posted

I disagree, If you look at his Intensity Factor (IF) of 0.81 he was pushing way too hard trying to make up for lost time.  A general rule of thumb is that for a full Ironman IF should be 0.7-0.76

 

https://bikeraceinfo.com/training-fitness/tri-power-meter.html

https://www.triradar.com/training-advice/training-with-a-power-meter/

 

These guys are super human so expect them to be at the top end of the IF or just over, but to be pushing an IF of 0,81 for over 4hrs, unless you are a super strong runner is going to affect your run... which it did!!

 

He ran a 3:15:26 which was the slowest run time of the top 29 in which he finished 28th.  Even a 25-29 Age Group athlete who was only 4 mins behind him ran a faster run

 

And is probably why Ryf was faster as she managed her pacing on the bike better.

 

Thanks for this, I just learned something new!

Posted

Thanks for this, I just learned something new!

If you race with a power meter and use it for pacing, worth reading https://www.takealot.com/training-and-racing-with-a-power-meter-2nd-ed-ebook/PLID37576306?gclid=EAIaIQobChMI9ouN3rOI3gIVjrXtCh2qOgklEAQYASABEgIfofD_BwE&gclsrc=aw.ds

 

Review of the book Training and Racing with a Power Meter https://medium.com/critical-powers/book-review-training-and-racing-with-a-power-meter-1ceaa388cf93

 

Edit: Majority of the book is about understanding power meter outputs and all the numbers, profiling to identify you weaknesses and there is a chapter on triathlons and pacing... especially with regard to undulating course, and when to tap-off or attack the pacing

 

Also worth a read https://www.takealot.com/the-power-meter-handbook/PLID35531029

Posted

Shaper, thanks for that info as well, definitely need to read up on it more my side

It definitely works since I started pacing using my PM, my runs have got faster without compromising my overall times and did my PB 70.3 run (1:40) at IM70.3WC this year.

 

With regard to the intensity factor, AG's will be at the lower end with the Pro's at the higher end.  They can maintain, we fade lol ........If you do more reading on it, the numbers correlate pretty well and have been around for a while.

 

Is also good for post race analysis too when you review your bike leg and look at both the IF and VI numbers in relation to race conditions and how you felt on the day.... generally whether you left something out on the course and could have pushed harder.

 

The only down side is you need to have an accurate FTP.... so regular puke sessions are in order  :D

Posted

Shaper are you going to be at Kona next year?

I wish !! :lol:  :lol: .........but as not doing a full next year (decided to do 2 Oceans instead), won't be even considering it........ maybe 2020  :ph34r:

 

Think the closest I will ever get is having a holiday in Kona and watching whilst taking in the vibe!!!

Posted

Man, I would be peeved as a pro if I made every effort to absolutely maximize every Watt possible, and then your bike sponsor gives you an air brake for 180km

 

Sarah True & Gomez's bikes had the water tank taped, Lucy Charles had the lid flapping in the wind, Tim Don had a bottle wedged between his saddle and the lid and looks like Currie had a rubber band on the downtube to hold the Bentobox in the frame?

 

https://www.tririg.com/galleries.php?id=2018_10_Ironman_Hawaii_Race_Day&num=18

 

2018_10_Ironman_Hawaii_Race_Day_272.jpg

 

2018_10_Ironman_Hawaii_Race_Day_39.jpg

 

2018_10_Ironman_Hawaii_Race_Day_58.jpg

 

2018_10_Ironman_Hawaii_Race_Day_160.jpg

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