shaper Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 This was almost exactly the forecast for the Cape Town Cycle tour 3 days before the race Well Accuweather has 48km/hr gusts for Sunday http://www.accuweather.com/en/za/port-elizabeth/304827/daily-weather-forecast/304827?day=10 So guess it will be somewhere between the two forecasts !! lol Hoping Yr.no forecast is the more accurate
jcza Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 Well Accuweather has 48km/hr gusts for Sunday http://www.accuweather.com/en/za/port-elizabeth/304827/daily-weather-forecast/304827?day=10 So guess it will be somewhere between the two forecasts !! lol Hoping Yr.no forecast is the more accurate Try this app, its called Windy. Available in iOS and Android. https://windyapp.co/
travisza Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 Don't you guys know....you NEVER talk about the weather before hand!
Foxbat Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 Its PE, expect wind. Being a local as well, a little wind is better than no wind at all. Trust me.
Garfield2010 Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 It is impossible to predict the wind along the coast accurately further than 48 hours in advance. And then to predict it accurate per hour is even tougher. PE owes us a good day with a light Westerley breeze. The past 5 races it was a strong Easterley. Also remember to activate your bull**** detectors for April Fools day. They are most likely to say the bike route was lengthened by 20km due to road works or something!
IceCreamMan Posted March 24, 2017 Author Posted March 24, 2017 The wind last year came into play on the last 45 km loop back into PE. By then one is a little tired and gatvol of cycling and then the wind picked up. My average took a nose dive but this is also due to me beginning to conserve energy. A nice tailwind into PE would be wonderful. But it is what it is. the wind is predicted to be 17km/h with gusts of up to 47 km/h. I think I can live with that. (but of course the weather prediction will change many times before 2 april) cant remember the wind speeds of last year, they were probably around what is predicted. So long as its not 100 km constant gales we should be ok.
Chris_ Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 Its my first one. I'm hoping for1:30 swim, a purposefully slow 7:00 cycle,so that I have enough gas left over for 5:00 run.. Saying that my training has stalled badly over the last 2 months so my expectations are dropping fast..
IceCreamMan Posted March 24, 2017 Author Posted March 24, 2017 Ultimately depends on conditions, especially the cycle leg . The times bouncing around my head are Swim 65 minutes , taking a chilled swimCycle - 6:15 pushing when I can relaxing when I cantRun 5:36 - I run ***, no other way to describe it.Transition times T1 + T2 = 25 minutes Total 13:25 - 13:40 is my goal time. A long day out. Realistically it wont be less than that but could conceivably be 3 hours longer...
muagie Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 What is everyone's finishing time goal?As it being my 1st time, i have 3 goals:1. Dont die !2. medal (even if it is 16:59:59)3. smile for the family on the road
banna Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 Also had a bad February so:Swim: 1h30Bike: 6h45Run: 4h45 So 13h30 ish...but as ICM says could be muuuuch longer....
IceCreamMan Posted March 24, 2017 Author Posted March 24, 2017 As it being my 1st time, i have 3 goals:1. Dont die !2. medal (even if it is 16:59:59)3. smile for the family on the road don't mean to be the anal one but cut off is 16:45 these days
muagie Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 don't mean to be the anal one but cut off is 16:45 these daysDid not know that!guess its time to read the athlete guide
IceCreamMan Posted March 24, 2017 Author Posted March 24, 2017 Did not know that!guess its time to read the athlete guide Not sure how they police this effectively, if you start early you could conceivably finish and get a medal and they may exclude you after the fact.
Garfield2010 Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 I only have one goal - to run a 4 hour marathon. Do that and I would have had the perfect race as it meant I paced myself perfectly on the bike and during the rest of the day........... Targeting a bike average speed or time is a very dangerous thing to do - believe me I have learned this the hard way.
Garfield2010 Posted March 24, 2017 Posted March 24, 2017 Did not know that!guess its time to read the athlete guide Not to be mean but if this is a real concern you have either not trained well enough or are injured!
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