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Where is the bike industry going with pricing


UnclePolli

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Posted

Maybe there is then justification that we berate the 'I worked hard for my money and I'll buy the best' Hubbers.

 

They sustain the exuberant prices we are currently witnessing.

 

#Jealous

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Posted

The acquisition of the Ferrari’s of cycling ie. top of the range Spez, Cannondale, Willier etc. all became possible once the industry started financing ….. suddenly you could have your R80K dream MTB at R2500 per month.

 

Easier to sell at R2K per month than R70K once off?

 

Imagine a bicycle market without financing ..... would look very different? :ph34r:

This is an excellent point.

Posted

Case in point, at a cool 100,000 Euro

 

The fact is, as long as people are willing to buy them, the manufacturers will keep on making them. The same can be said for the general motor-vehicle market, the most basic 3-Series is R661K. That's just insanity, but people buy them by the thousands.

Hmm,

 

SO in the motorbike space i finally bought a mates bike i lusted after for a long time -  a Ducati Multistrada Pikes Peak edition. Just paid him over the weekend.

 

He called me crying after the money cleared in to his account as he was really unhappy that he had sold it - because he had been to BMW to buy his 1250 GS HP etc and the ACCESSORIES on the new bike cost as much as i paid him FOR THE WHOLE MULTISTRADA.

 

SO things have gone a bit crazy and normally that's indicative of a bubble market. But like has been pointed out the price is what the market will sustain.

 

Me i see lots of value in second hand and the classifieds.

 

Let the guys with deep pockets take the depreciation hit. I am happy with your used goods.

Posted

Same. The first thing people pull out of their erses is economies of scale. I call bullcrap on that. All of the components are mass produced in the east in batches of tens of thousands.

 

I always look at Motocross bikes when comparing pricing to MTB's. Similar customer base ITO earnings. Also subject to currency fluctuation. Similar lack of road application so it's a toy.

 

A 2020 Kawasaki KX450 F will cost you R120k Amazing suspension, Electric Start etc etc. 

 

If we want to go more exotic a KTM 450 arm schredder is CHEAPER than the Kawasaki at 112k. Brembo brakes. Hydraulic clutch. Electric start.

 

My theory is twofold.

 

1. There are too many bit players and "niche" manufacturers skewing the perception of value. There are also manufacturers that a most certainly NOT niche but hang on grimly to that model. Santa Cruz spring to mind

2. The industry is upside down. The component makers call the shots. Not the bike manufacturers. In the motorcycle industry the big players own the component brand. E.g. Nissin brakes is owned by Kawasaki. Kayaba and Showa are owned by Honda.

I think the SC frames are build by Giant. So makes even less sense that they are so expensive.

 

But I see Giant prices are creeping up significantly over the past few years. 

Posted

Same. The first thing people pull out of their erses is economies of scale. I call bullcrap on that. All of the components are mass produced in the east in batches of tens of thousands.

 

I always look at Motocross bikes when comparing pricing to MTB's. Similar customer base ITO earnings. Also subject to currency fluctuation. Similar lack of road application so it's a toy.

 

A 2020 Kawasaki KX450 F will cost you R120k Amazing suspension, Electric Start etc etc. 

 

If we want to go more exotic a KTM 450 arm schredder is CHEAPER than the Kawasaki at 112k. Brembo brakes. Hydraulic clutch. Electric start.

 

My theory is twofold.

 

1. There are too many bit players and "niche" manufacturers skewing the perception of value. There are also manufacturers that a most certainly NOT niche but hang on grimly to that model. Santa Cruz spring to mind

2. The industry is upside down. The component makers call the shots. Not the bike manufacturers. In the motorcycle industry the big players own the component brand. E.g. Nissin brakes is owned by Kawasaki. Kayaba and Showa are owned by Honda.

 

I don't know much about motorcross so I'd ask what other parallels there are between the two industries. Assuming there are legitimate reasons for pricing disparity. The 1st of which comes to mind is. Have things changed in the motorcross industry in lets say the last 5 years? Does a 5 year old motorcross bike seem as redundant today as a 5 year old mountain bike?

Posted

Pricing is more driven by the component suppliers for the forks, rear shocks and groupsets etc. Compare groupset pricing from 5 years ago and you'll have a better understanding for the price increases. Frame prices haven't gone up by much over the past 5 years but parts....

 

Also comparing pricing from 9 years ago is silly. A top end bike then had the same tech that you'd get on a R50k bike now?

Posted

surely they're not that similiar?

 

You can buy a specialized bike for R4k, yet you're showing the top of the range CEO richwanker SWorks version that is R190k. I'm sure the top of the range BMW GS goes for silly like ~R500k, which would be a more apples with apples comparison.

 

That is exactly my point. Based on the level of engineering, technology, material cost and relative complexity I cannot rationally compare a top of the range mountain bike to even a basic motorbike and conclude that the pricing makes logical sense.

Posted

First rule of business. A product is worth exactly what your customer is willing to pay for it. If this number is higher than the cost price you're running a business. If its lower then you're running a charity. 2nd rule of business bundle items to hide the individual costs and increase profits due to economies of scale. Select high perceived value items and bundle with low cost low perceived value items. Price according to high perceived value items. Figure out what your client is looking at and make that amazing; make everything they're not paying attention to ****.

 

And this is why I buy my parts individually and build my own bikes.

And this is what it all boils down to ....

Posted

aah, i forgot to add. make your profit its a business afterall, but be realistic for the less fortunate okes.

also the price demand always plays out in favour of high prices, if the demand drops then you will hear the price is high because we dont ship a lot as we used to.

 

appart from components my peevf hate is that a bicycle tyre cost more than my family car sedan replacement yokies

Posted

Just like top end motorcycles and cars, I am not their target market.

 

I can't however fathom, from a material (call it volume value) point of view, how these plastic bikes are so expensive. Now you can talk to me about prototyping costs and R & D and tooling costs, but these are then amortized over the first production run. 

 

Just like how a mtb tyre costs the same as a motorcycle tyre. or how some motorcycle tyres are more expensive than a car tyre.

Posted

In terms of pricing, I think we'll find that by in large the USD price of the below-top-tier bikes to be more or less where it was 10 years ago, but with the introduction of carbon wheels & components, wireless drivetrains and massive engineering challenges (the XX1 cassette comes to mind) it has shot up on the ultra-high tier bike options. Add the effects of the volatile ZAR, as well as more money and time-consuming development techniques to perpetually make things lighter AND more durable, it's not surprising that the ZAR cost of some bikes is mega high, to us. 

 

I'm not saying that this is the only reason, but I think it needs to be taken into consideration. 

Posted

Just like top end motorcycles and cars, I am not their target market.

 

I can't however fathom, from a material (call it volume value) point of view, how these plastic bikes are so expensive. Now you can talk to me about prototyping costs and R & D and tooling costs, but these are then amortized over the first production run. 

 

Just like how a mtb tyre costs the same as a motorcycle tyre. or how some motorcycle tyres are more expensive than a car tyre.

on the tyre side of things, the only argument I can think of is that the restriction on weight is FAR more important on the MTB side of things when compared to moto & car options. That makes it incredibly difficult to control weight whilst also giving casing strength a good go. 

Posted

Just like top end motorcycles and cars, I am not their target market.

 

I can't however fathom, from a material (call it volume value) point of view, how these plastic bikes are so expensive. Now you can talk to me about prototyping costs and R & D and tooling costs, but these are then amortized over the first production run. 

 

 

aah, i forgot to add. make your profit its a business afterall, but be realistic for the less fortunate okes.

also the price demand always plays out in favour of high prices, if the demand drops then you will hear the price is high because we dont ship a lot as we used to.

 

appart from components my peevf hate is that a bicycle tyre cost more than my family car sedan replacement yokies

 

ja my f&k tyres cost way too much, but you're not comparing apples with apples.

I'm always surprised at how much research goes into selecting mtb tyres, vs car where you just get what they have there.

 

 

car tyres - 

R560 - https://www.takealot.com/goodyear-155-80r13-79t-effecta-za-tyre/PLID52160684

R8k https://www.takealot.com/goodyear-285-70r19-5-146-reg-rhd-ii-tyre/PLID52160655

 

bike tyres

R75 https://www.cwcycles.co.za/product/kenda-tyre-k838

R1600 https://www.cwcycles.co.za/product/vittoria-bomboloni-29er-tnt-tubeless-tyre

Posted

I built a good number of bikes, so just for fun I hacked the Epic S-Works components RRPs into my built spreadsheet.

I doesn't look good. Assuming the S-works frame with brain shock costs the same or more than my Element 999 you won't be able to build this bike for R190k. 

Unless of course you start shopping around and get stuff for solid discounts.

The $/R is really going hard on us here....

Posted

aah, i forgot to add. make your profit its a business afterall, but be realistic for the less fortunate okes.

also the price demand always plays out in favour of high prices, if the demand drops then you will hear the price is high because we dont ship a lot as we used to.

 

appart from components my peevf hate is that a bicycle tyre cost more than my family car sedan replacement yokies

 

Few decades back it was Nishiki.

 

A few others since then.

 

Currently TITAN is the quality bike for the masses.

 

 

Today's TITAN may be "mid-range" in terms of engineering when compared to the current expensive bikes (cheaper frame, decent components .. model dependant).  Fact is, these so called "mid-range" bikes are now sporting components that were top-of-the-range a few years back, at affordable costs.

 

 

 

Truth be told, we are very spoilt for choice  .... from a decent HT for under R20k for those on a budget, to R200k+ for those that are in the position to afford it.  Not too dissimilar to cars .... some of us will drive second hand, some entry level new, very few will drive high end new cars .... and many will go for the over-priced-under-specced-brand name models, in both cars and bikes and most other consumer items ....

 

 

The trick is in the marketing .... VERY easy to spend a significant chunk of money on a bike that is way more marketing than proper engineering .... I was looking for an ebike in February, a KNOWN brand seems to be the market leader in this segment and I looked at their range.  The 2019 spec was a DECENT bike !!  The 2020 spec costs MORE, and was downgraded to NX ... heaven alone knows what else they downgraded, while upping the price.  So in my humble opinion, get YOUR budget sorted, then start hunting for the best specced bike in your price bracket .... though some deliberately buys a better frame knowing that they will be spending money on upgrading the components .... either way, KNOW what you are buying and what your cost of ownership is going to be.

Posted

I built a good number of bikes, so just for fun I hacked the Epic S-Works components RRPs into my built spreadsheet.

I doesn't look good. Assuming the S-works frame with brain shock costs the same or more than my Element 999 you won't be able to build this bike for R190k. 

Unless of course you start shopping around and get stuff for solid discounts.

The $/R is really going hard on us here....

I did the same last night, but the thing is this.

 

We are showing RRP on our spreadsheets of what the components cost us to buy locally.

 

The manufacturers should be getting these components at hugely reduced prices, yet they end up with a price similar to what it would cost "us" to build the same spec up at. You would think it should be much cheaper to buy a fully built bike vs buying all the spare parts and slapping it on the frame (And granted that Spaz Evo with the wild paint job is drool worthy).

 

Somewhere, something is weird.

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