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Posted (edited)

I am getting tired of training on my "dumb" IDT, always fiddling with the resistance setting and gearing to achieve the required Watts in Zwift.

 

However, I am going to have to delay the upgrade as at this stage I still have a realistic chance of winning the KICKR, though I might place my upgrade order after about stage 3 of the TDF :)

Edited by Rookie85
Posted

I've taken an analytical/numbers approach as apposed to gut and past performance.

 

Looked up and recorded the odds of winning each stage for all riders on various media platforms and built a little database which logs most likely scores for each rider over the 21 days.

 

So based on most likely to least likely to win a stage, rider gets allocated points. Structured my picks so that my chosen 8 plus subs results in a maximum combination of points for each of the three phases.

 

This takes into account the favorites on flats, cobbles, hilltops etc. Then just also made sure that the most likely jersey winners are also included.

 

This approach has caused me to leave out some big names I would otherwise definitely have picked, but seeing that that didn't go well last year, I'm sticking to my new BS approach...

When I was organising the competition, I had access to see everyone’s picks before the competition start date - a reason I declined to be eligible to win a prize. I could see the winners picks from prior years, and compare to their picks submitted. It helped me bugger all as the best I finished as a top 30, and there were never more than 120 entries. Once it got to over 600 entries, it was too much data to go through, and I picked based on my limited experience.

 

 

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Posted

I won this competition in 2010. the only year there were no prizes. my luck sucks by the way

Back then, my core objective was providing a platform for the competition. Bragging rights as the prize.

 

 

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Posted

Team in, spent all of 5mins on it.

 

Won’t change till Sub day...

 

Going to laugh if I beat you over analyzers :P

What took you so long?? 

Posted

If you don't place top 100 then the game is rigged I tell ya!

 

Seriously, what's your team name? Wanna see how far the analytical approach goes.

 

Maybe I will reveal after the first phase  :D

Posted

I am getting tired of training on my "dumb" IDT, always fiddling with the resistance setting and gearing to achieve the required Watts in Zwift.

 

However, I am going to have to delay the upgrade as at this stage I still have a realistic chance of winning the KICKR, though I might place my upgrade order after about stage 3 of the TDF :)

I wonder if admin will send it to Switz ????

If not I’ll give you first option and a special price

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